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Floating Production Systems
April 2009 Report

I.     CURRENT AND PLANNED FLOATING PRODUCTION SYSTEMS

 

1. Overview of the Floater Business Sector        

Recent Orders, Deliveries and Relocations    

What's Now Being Built         

Trend in Order Backlog          

Where Destined         

Current Fabrication and Conversion Activity         

Floaters Planned or Under Study    


2. Details for Floaters in Operation, On Order or Planned       

Inventory of Floating Production Systems     

Inventory of Floating Storage/Offloading Systems     

Production and Storage/Offloading Systems Installed Since 1996    

Floaters Now on Order     

Floating Production Projects Planned or Under Study     

  II.    RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

 

1. Projects in the Planning Stage       

Block O (Equatorial Guinea)    

Aje (Nigeria)     

Tweneboa (Ghana)    

BMG (Australia)    

Cormorant (Australia)    

Sunrise (Australia)     

Azulao (Brazil)     

Panoramix (Brazil)    

BM-BAR-3 (Brazil)     

BM-S-7 (Brazil)     

El Perdido (Mexico)     

Cantarell 2 (Mexico)     

Buckskin (Gulf of Mexico)     

Bushwick (Gulf of Mexico)     

Cascade Phase 3 (Gulf of Mexico)     

Shenandoah (Gulf of Mexico)     

Kitimat FLNG (British Columbia)     

Ombrina Mare (Italy)     

Gioia Tauro (Italy)     

Rinnes (U.K.)     

Liwan (China)     

North Sumatra (Indonesia)     

Cendor (Malaysia)     

Abadi (Indonesia)     

FLNG vessel (speculative)     

 

2. Projects in the Final Design or Bidding Stage       

Crux (Australia)    

Ichthys (Australia)     

Papa Terra (Brazil)    

Jack/St.Malo (Gulf of Mexico)    

Goliat (Norway)    

Shtokman (Russia)     

Bua Ban (Thailand)     

Cuu Long Basin (Vietnam)    

    

3. New Orders       

Soroosh FSU (Iran)    

  

4. Orders Terminated or Delayed       

EOV (Gabon)    

Pinauna (Brazil)     

Roncador P 62 FPSO vessel (Brazil)    

Telemark 2 MinDOC (Gulf of Mexico)    

Malampaya (Philippines)    

 

5. Systems On Order       

PAJ FPSO (Angola)    

Cascade/Chinook FPSO (Gulf of Mexico)     

Dua/Chim Sao FPSO (Vietnam)      

LNG Producers #1-4 (Nigeria/PNG/Speculative)      

MT Arc FPSO (Speculative) 

Deep Producer 1 FPSO (Speculative)

Sevan #4 and #5 (Speculative)


6. Systems Recently Completed       

Azurite FDPSO(Congo)    

Olowi FPSO (Gabon)     

Camarupim FPSO (Brazil)      

Frade FPSO (Brazil)      

Tupi EWT FPSO (Brazil)      

Thunder Hawk production semi (Gulf of Mexico)      

Ettrick FPSO (U.K.)      

Songkhla FSO (Thailand)      

Song Doc FPSO (Vietnam)

  

7. Existing Systems       

Woollybutt FPSO (Australia)    

Montara FPSO (Australia)    

Maari FPSO (New Zealand)    

Gomez production semi (Gulf of Mexico)    

Auger TLP (Gulf of Mexico)    

Constitution spar (Gulf of Mexico)     

Al Shaheen FSO (Qatar)    

MA-D6 FPSO (India)    

Rang Dong FPSO (Vietnam)    

Galoc FPSO (Philippines)    

  

 

III.     UNDERLYING MARKET DRIVERS

 

1.          Global Oil Demand to Decline 2.8. Percent in 1st Qtr 2009     

2.          Demand and Supply Remain Out of Balance    

3.          Spot Crude Prices Have Fallen Due to Demand/Supply Imbalance    

4.          But the Futures Market Is Indicating $75+ Oil And $7+ Gas Five Years Out   

5.          Deepwater Drilling Activity Has Remained Strong   

6.          Drill Rig Deliveries Over The Next Three Years Will Almost Double the Deepwater Rigs in Operation   

7.          And Most Major Offshore Operators Plan to Increase or Maintain E&P Spending --- At Least So Far   

8.          Meanwhile, Production Floater Orders Have Evaporated And Some Past Contracts Have Been Cancelled   

9.          Overall the Downturn Appears Temporary and the Long Term Market Outlook Remains Very Strong   

IV.    FORECAST OF FLOATER REQUIREMENTS

 

1. Summary of the Available Five Year Market       

 

2. FPSO Vessels       

Units in Operation    

Pros and Cons     

Order History     

Future FPSO Projects    

Outlook for FPSO Orders    

Projected Capex for FPSO Orders     

      

3. Production Semis       

Units in Operation    

Why Production Semis?     

Order History     

Outlook for Production Semi Orders    

Projected capex for Production Semi Orders       

  

4. Tension Leg Platforms       

Units in Operation    

Pros and Cons     

Recent TLP Ordering Pace     

Outlook for Orders    

Projected Capex for TLP Orders    

 

5. Production Spars       

Units in Operation    

Pros and Cons     

Recent Spar Ordering Pace     

Outlook for Orders    

Projected Capex for Spar Orders    

  

6. Floating Storage Systems       

Units in Operation    

Recent FSO Ordering Pace   

Outlook for Orders    

Projected Capex for FSO Orders    

 

V.     COMPANIES AND TECHNOLOGY

 

1.          Profile of Production Floaters by Water Depth     

2.          Petrobras Five Year Plan Includes $28 Billion for Pre-Salt Development     

3.          Serial Hull Construction in Brazil Will Impact FPSO Redeployment and Hull Conversion Opportunities    

4.          Recent GOM Lease Sale Drew Little Interest, But Deepwater Bidding Remained Relatively Strong   

5.          Falling Scrap Values Have Impacted FPSO/FSO Operators     

6.          Gasol/Teekay Have Developed New Concept for Floating Liquefaction