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Floating
Production Systems
March
2004 Report
I.
CURRENT AND PLANNED FLOATING PRODUCTION SYSTEMS 1. Overview of the Floater Business
Sector 1 Recent Orders and Deliveries
1 What's Now Being Built
Current Fabrication and Conversion Activity
Floaters Planned or Under Study
3 2. Details for Floaters in Operation, On Order or Planned
5 Inventory of Floating Production Systems 6 Inventory of Floating Storage
Systems 22 Production and Storage Systems
Installed Since September 1996 23 Floaters Now on Order
27 Floating Production Projects
Planned or Under Study 41
1. Projects in the Planning Stage 53 Block 31 (Angola) 53 Kuda Tasi/Jahal (Australia) 53 Gjoa (Norway) 53 Crawford (U.K.) 54 Hornet (Gulf of Mexico) 54 Cascade (Gulf of Mexico) 54 Chinook (Gulf of Mexico) 54 Deimos (Gulf of Mexico) 55 Neptune (Gulf of Mexico) 55 St. Malo (Gulf of Mexico) 55 Myrtle Beach (Gulf of Mexico) 55 Blind Faith (Gulf of Mexico)
55 Krishna-Godavari (India) 56 Gehem (Indonesia) 56 Gumusut (Malaysia) 56
2. Projects in the Final Design or Bidding Stage
56 Akpo (Nigeria) 56 Block 15 (Angola) 57 Negage (Angola) 57 Usan/Ukot (Nigeria)
57 OPL 98 (Nigeria) 57 Agbami (Nigeria) 58 Chinguetti (Mauritania) 58 Stybarrow (Australia) 58 Montara (Australia)
59 Maari (New Zealand) 59 Tui (New Zealand) 59 BES-100 (Brazil) 59 Marlim Sul P-51 (Brazil) 60 Marlim Leste P-53 (Brazil) 60 Roncador P-54 (Brazil) 60 Merganser/Vortex (Gulf of Mexico) 60 Tahiti (Gulf of Mexico) 61 Volve (Norway) 61 Alvheim FPSO vessel (Norway) 62 Bombay Basin (India) 62 Jasmine (Thailand) 62 Kikeh (Malaysia) 62
3. New Orders and Relocations 62 Plutonio FPSO vessel (Angola)
63 Constitution production spar(Gulf of Mexico)
63 Okwori FPSO vessel (Nigeria)
63 Xijiang FPSO vessel
(China) 64 Bourbon Opale well test vessel
(Gulf of Mexico) 64 Panna Mukta FSO vessel
(India) 64 4. Systems On Order 65 Enfield FPSO vessel (Australia)
65 Mutineer/Exeter FPSO vessel (Australia)
65 Thunder Horse production semi (Australia)
65 Mad Dog production spar
(Gulf of Mexico) 65 Holstein production spar
(Gulf of Mexico) 65
5. Systems Recently Completed 66 Kizomba A wellhead TLP (Angola)
66 Xikomba FPSO vessel (Angola)
66 Lukut FPSO vessel (Malaysia)
66 Marco Polo TLP (Gulf of Mexico)
66 PM-3 FSO vessel (Malaysia) 67 6. Existing Systems 67 Woollybutt FPSO vessel (Australia) 67 Varg FPSO vessel (Norway)
67 Glitne FPSO vessel (Norway)
67 Isis FPSO vessel (Tunisia)
67 Qinhuangdao FPSO vessel (China)
67 Dai Hung production semi (Vietnam)
68 Su Tu Den FPSO vessel (Vietnam)
68
1.
Global Oil Demand Has Been Very Strong 69
2.
OPEC Producers Continue to Manage Output 69
3.
Oil Prices Have Soared to the Upper $30s
71
4.
Natural Gas Prices Have Also Been Very Strong
72
5.
Deepwater Offshore E&P Spending in 2004 to Increase 72
6.
$2.2 Trillion to be Invested in Oil E&P through 2030 --- with Offshore Taking a Big Share 73
7.
Rig Activity Not Yet Responded to Higher E&P Spending ---
But There are Signs of Improvement 73
8.
Recent Orders for Floating Production Systems Continue to be Below the 7 Year Average 75
IV.
FORECAST OF FLOATER REQUIREMENTS
1.
Summary of the Available Five Year Market
77
2.
FPSO Vessels
78
3.
Production Semis
83
4.
Tension Leg Platform Orders 87
5.
Production Spars 90
6.
All Production Floaters 93
7.
How Does This Forecast Compare With Last Year's 94
1.
Redeployment of FPSOs 97
2.
Lease vs. Ownership of Production Floaters 99
3.
New vs. Converted Hulls for FPSOs
100
4.
Floating Storage and Regasification Units
102
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